Sunday, 2 November 2014


Portfolio as at end September

Asset
Bloomberg Ticker

H&T
HAT LN
15.9%

AIG
AIG US
13.6%

Avesco
AVS LN
13.8%

Commerzbank
CBK GY
11.8%

Safestyle PLC
SFE LN
11.2%

Emeco Holdings
EHL ASX
13.4%

Hargreaves Services
HSP LN
6.8%

Dolphin Capital
DCI LN
5.6%

Alternative Asset Opportunities
TLI LN
5.9%

Plaza Centers
PLAZ LN
0.5%

GBP Cash
1.5%



Quarterly Return
Quarterly Benchmark Return

-0.66%
3.1928%

Return Since Inception
Benchmark Return since Inception

18.10%
24.9%

Annualised Return since Inception
Annualised Benchmark Return since Inception
11.70%
16.00%


Portfolio Today

Asset
Bloomberg Ticker
Emeco
EHL ASX
12%
Safestyle
SFE LN
12%
Exova
EXO LN
11%
Avesco
AVS LN
11%
H&T
HAT LN
7%
AIG
AIG US
7%
Commerzbank
CBK GY
6%
Hargreaves
DCI LN
4%
TLI
TLI LN
3%
Dolphin
DCI LN
2%
Plaza
PLAZ LN
0%
Cash
26%


I've been pretty sloppy, I'm afraid, in reporting my Q3 results on the blog.  The reason is that I've made lots of changes in my financial life, including selling my flat and making my pension self managed.  This has meant that my funds have increased considerably, and the composition of my portfolio has changed a lot.  I'll be blogging over the next several weeks about my additions, and also about my decision to introduce leverage into the portfolio, and how I've done it.

I must admit that part of the reason for my tardiness may be my uninspiring results thus far.  Of course, I've thought about this a lot.  Some possible reasons are:

- I'm not very good at this.
- I think a lot about permanent loss of capital so my outperformance will come when the market is down.
- 2 years is a fairly meaningless amount of time to measure one's performance.

Time will tell which of these is correct, so in the meantime I will continue to plug away, and look for things that are obviously cheap.

And when I ponder my results, it is wise to not just examine one's buying decisions, but one's selling decisions as well.  Here, it would seem I've had more success, having been an owner of both Tesco and Imtech in the past, both of which have subsequently collapsed.  The lesson that these have taught me (as well as Hargreaves Services) is not to buy mediocre business because they look "a bit cheap".  Always be greedy in looking for obvious cheapness, if you're not buying a high quality business.

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